Refuse to Lose on the S&P








What are we looking for?

If the week's closing price drops below the purple line (15% below previous peak), or if the day's closing price drops below the light blue line (more than 7.2% below previous days close) then we have transitioned into a bear market

Update 2/6/2018

posted Feb 6, 2018, 8:39 AM by sms investing

With the recent volatility in the markets, I wanted to get an update out. Currently, we have not yet hit our Refuse to lose "stop loss" we are looking for the market to fall below 2435 to indicate we are looking at a longer-term drawdown.


May 8th 2017 Update

posted May 8, 2017, 3:39 PM by sms investing

Our "refuse to lose" indicator is currently indicating a Bull Market.

Oct 15 2016

posted Oct 16, 2016, 5:48 PM by sms investing

We are currently in a bull market. We will not transition into a bear market unless the SPY 500 index closes below 1970, on Monday 10/16, or closes below 1862 on Friday 10/21. 

Sept 16, 2016

posted Sep 16, 2016, 6:56 AM by sms investing

We will not transition to a bear market unless we close below 1972 on Monday Sept 19th, or 1862 on Friday Sept 23.

Aug 15th Update

posted Aug 14, 2016, 8:02 PM by sms investing

Aug 15th Update
We will not transition into a bear market unless the S&P 500 closes below 2013 tomorrow (Monday Aug 15th), or below 1858 on Friday Aug 19th.

June 16th update

posted Jun 16, 2016, 6:47 AM by sms investing

We will not have transitioned into a bear market unless we drop below 1924 tomorrow (June 17th).

May 16, 2016

posted May 16, 2016, 8:56 AM by sms investing

We will not be in a bear market unless the market closes below 1910 tomorrow, or below 1814 on friday:


April 16 2016 update

posted Apr 16, 2016, 2:03 PM by sms investing

A bear market would not be indicated unless the market closes below 1921 on Monday (April 18th) or 1814 on Friday (April 22).

April 1st Update

posted Apr 1, 2016, 12:47 PM by sms investing

 A bear market would not be indicated unless the market closes below 1901 on Friday April 1.

March 15th

posted Mar 14, 2016, 7:09 PM by sms investing



A bear market would not be indicated unless the market closes below 1845 by tomorrow March 15th or close below 1814 Friday March 18th


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